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TOR:CON Value Descriptions
8+ Very high probability of a tornado
6 - High probability of a tornado
4 - Moderate chance of a tornado nearby, but hail and/or high wind gusts possible
2 - Low chance of a tornado, but hail and/or high wind gusts possible
0 - Near-zero chance of a tornado or a severe thunderstorm
The TOR:CON index ranges from 0 to 10. Multiply the value by 10 to get your chance of a tornado within 50 miles of a location. For example, a TOR:CON index of 6 means there's a 60% chance of a tornado within 50 miles of a location (for example, southern Kansas).
For more on all severe thunderstorm threats, including damaging winds and large hail, check our severe weather tracker page.
Note: By definition, a severe thunderstorm contains one or more of the following: hail at least 1 inch in diameter, wind gusts 58 mph or higher, or a tornado.
Saturday, Dec. 7
Probably no severe thunderstorms as the front sags into south GA, north FL, but a low chance of an isolated severe thunderstorm in southeast SC, southeast GA, east FL panhandle and northeast FL. TOR:CON - 1 or less.
Sunday, Dec. 8
Probably no severe thunderstorms, but a low chance of an isolated severe thunderstorm in LA, MS. TOR:CON - less than 1.
Monday, Dec. 9
A chance of an isolated marginally severe thunderstorm along and ahead of a cold front in south and east-central AL, central and southwest GA, FL panhandle. TOR:CON - 1 or less.
Tuesday, Dec. 10
Probably no severe thunderstorms, but a low chance of an isolated severe thunderstorm in coastal GA in the morning, northeast FL. TOR:CON - 1 or less.
Wednesday, Dec. 11
Probably no severe thunderstorms, but a few thunderstorms in FL along the cold front. TOR:CON - near zero.
Thursday, Dec. 12
No severe thunderstorms. TOR:CON - zero.